Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Energie Cottbus v Wehen Wiesbaden

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Energie Cottbus 2–1 Wehen Wiesbaden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prediction 64.08%1.56fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -3.95%
Kelly -12.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.16%64.18%64.19%65.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.26%70.42%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit)

Prediction 16.96%5.90fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.289%
Kelly +0.347%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.56%17.04%16.94%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.285.406.0021.05%18.93%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.96%5.27fair odd
EV +4.29%
Edge +0.781%
Kelly +0.954%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.73%18.78%18.87%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.704.805.5026.67%21.27%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 64.08%; Wehen Wiesbaden (Visit): 16.96%; Draw: 18.96%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +4.29%E +0.781%K +0.954%G +0.041%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.62%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.49%EV -7.93%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV +0.691%E +0.130%K +0.160%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-09 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -3.29%E -0.645%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -3.29%E -0.645%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +1.73%E +0.289%K +0.347%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 01:29
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 23:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:09
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -8.36%E -5.85%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -11.83%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -7.08%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -2.51%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 14:49
Suprabets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.23%EV -9.64%E -6.84%K -23.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -16.92%E -3.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 20:35
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -2.51%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:04
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.41%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 00:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 01:29
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 13:49
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 62.95%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-09 01:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.25%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.55%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-08 13:49
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -20.36%E -4.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 13:49
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -26.05%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-08 13:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -28.89%E -7.70%K -10.51%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:24