L’École des cotes

FC Energie Cottbus v Wehen Wiesbaden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Score final : FC Energie Cottbus 2–1 Wehen Wiesbaden

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 64.08%1.56cote équitable
EV -5.80%
Avantage -3.95%
Kelly -12.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.16%64.18%64.19%65.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.26%70.42%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.96%5.90cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.289%
Kelly +0.347%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.56%17.04%16.94%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.285.406.0021.05%18.93%18.52%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.96%5.27cote équitable
EV +4.29%
Avantage +0.781%
Kelly +0.954%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.73%18.78%18.87%22.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.704.805.5026.67%21.27%20.83%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +4.29%E +0.781%K +0.954%G +0.041%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.62%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.49%EV -7.93%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV +0.691%E +0.130%K +0.160%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-09 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -3.29%E -0.645%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:24
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -3.29%E -0.645%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:24
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +1.73%E +0.289%K +0.347%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 01:29
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -8.36%E -5.85%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -11.83%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -7.08%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:49
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -2.51%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 14:49
Suprabets1.41I 70.92%NM 63.23%EV -9.64%E -6.84%K -23.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -16.92%E -3.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 20:35
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -2.51%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:04
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:09
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:10
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.41%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 00:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 01:29
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 14:50
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 13:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 62.95%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-09 01:30
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.25%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.55%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-08 13:49
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -20.36%E -4.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 13:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -26.05%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-08 13:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -28.89%E -7.70%K -10.51%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:24