La escuela de los momios

FC Energie Cottbus v Wehen Wiesbaden

Inicio: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Energie Cottbus 2–1 Wehen Wiesbaden

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Predicción 64.08%1.56momio equitativo
EV -5.80%
Ventaja -3.95%
Kelly -12.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.16%64.18%64.19%65.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.421.421.4773.53%70.26%70.42%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wehen Wiesbaden (Visitante)

Predicción 16.96%5.90momio equitativo
EV +1.73%
Ventaja +0.289%
Kelly +0.347%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.56%17.04%16.94%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.285.406.0021.05%18.93%18.52%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.96%5.27momio equitativo
EV +4.29%
Ventaja +0.781%
Kelly +0.954%
Crecimiento +0.041%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.73%18.78%18.87%22.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.704.805.5026.67%21.27%20.83%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +4.29%E +0.781%K +0.954%G +0.041%8.7%2026-05-08 17:49
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 64.62%EV -5.80%E -3.95%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.49%EV -7.93%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV +0.691%E +0.130%K +0.160%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-09 01:29
BetOnline.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -3.29%E -0.645%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:24
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 64.03%EV -6.44%E -4.41%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -3.29%E -0.645%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 02:24
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +1.73%E +0.289%K +0.347%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 01:29
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 64.52%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 23:49
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.96%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.19%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:09
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -8.36%E -5.85%K -19.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -11.83%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -7.08%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 17:49
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.15%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 23:39
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -11.57%E -8.38%K -30.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -2.51%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 14:49
Suprabets1.41I 70.92%NM 63.23%EV -9.64%E -6.84%K -23.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -16.92%E -3.45%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -8.98%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 20:35
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -2.51%E -0.436%K -0.527%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:04
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:09
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:09
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.93%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:10
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.41%EV -7.08%E -4.88%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -10.88%E -2.31%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 00:24
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -12.77%E -2.78%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 20:34
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -9.00%E -6.34%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 01:29
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 14:50
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 13:49
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 62.95%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.03%EV -14.67%E -3.26%K -4.19%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-09 01:30
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.72%E -5.36%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 13:44
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.25%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.55%EV -16.57%E -3.76%K -4.87%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-08 13:49
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -10.29%E -7.35%K -25.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -20.36%E -4.85%K -6.36%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-08 13:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 61.16%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.51%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.33%EV -26.05%E -6.68%K -8.98%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-08 13:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 61.17%EV -12.85%E -9.45%K -35.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.64%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -28.89%E -7.70%K -10.51%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.88%3.8%2026-05-09 00:24