Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.65
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 36.16%; SC Verl (Visit): 38.80%; Draw: 25.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -2.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.40%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.34%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -2.58%E -0.663%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.41%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.41%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.33%E -0.597%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 15:21 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.21%EV -9.22%E -3.94%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.59%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.86%EV -9.22%E -3.94%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.77%EV -8.09%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 15:22 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.28%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.18%EV -18.53%E -8.82%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -22.36%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.67%EV -16.83%E -7.32%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.23%EV -16.59%E -7.72%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.67%EV -22.25%E -10.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-02-28 13:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |