L’École des cotes

FC Energie Cottbus v SC Verl

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 36.16%2.77cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.28%36.10%36.16%38.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.502.502.6546.51%40.07%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Verl (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.80%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%38.82%38.70%39.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.71%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.04%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.597%
Kelly -0.803%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.87%25.08%25.14%26.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.573.553.9032.26%28.00%28.17%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 15:25
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 15:25
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.40%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.34%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -2.58%E -0.663%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 15:25
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.41%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:25
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.41%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:25
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.33%E -0.597%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 15:25
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 15:21
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 15:25
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.21%EV -9.22%E -3.94%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 15:25
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.59%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 15:25
Suprabets2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.86%EV -9.22%E -3.94%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 24.77%EV -8.09%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 15:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 15:25
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 15:25
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 15:25
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 15:25
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 15:25
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 15:25
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 15:25
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 15:25
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 15:25
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-28 15:25
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 15:22
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.28%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.18%EV -18.53%E -8.82%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -22.36%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000%21.5%2026-02-28 15:25
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 36.67%EV -16.83%E -7.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.23%EV -16.59%E -7.72%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%18.6%2026-02-28 15:25
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 38.67%EV -22.25%E -10.35%K -19.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%20.3%2026-02-28 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-02-28 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-02-28 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-02-28 15:25