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FC Energie Cottbus v SC Verl
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Energie Cottbus (Local)
Predicción 36.16%2.77momio equitativo
EV -4.17%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.28%36.10%36.16%38.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.502.502.6546.51%40.07%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
SC Verl (Visitante)
Predicción 38.80%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%38.82%38.70%39.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.71%42.55%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.04%3.99momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.597%
Kelly -0.803%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.87%25.08%25.14%26.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.573.553.9032.26%28.00%28.17%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 36.16%; SC Verl (Visitante): 38.80%; Empate: 25.04%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.90, con un valor esperado de -2.33%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.15%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.63%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.21%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.17%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.40%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.34%E -2.19%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.52%EV -2.58%E -0.663%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.41%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.90%EV -6.70%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.41%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.33%E -0.597%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 15:21 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.21%EV -9.22%E -3.94%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -7.79%E -3.05%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.59%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 38.86%EV -9.22%E -3.94%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.77%EV -8.09%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -11.09%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -11.41%E -4.66%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 15:22 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 34.28%EV -13.21%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.18%EV -18.53%E -8.82%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.54%EV -22.36%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 21.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.67%EV -16.83%E -7.32%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.23%EV -16.59%E -7.72%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.67%EV -22.25%E -10.35%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.14%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-02-28 13:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 15:25 |