A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Erzgebirge Aue v TSG Hoffenheim II
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Previsão 39.92%2.51odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.53%40.04%39.96%41.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.312.302.4347.62%43.24%43.48%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visitante)
Previsão 34.99%2.86odd justa
EV -2.03%
Vantagem -0.723%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.95%34.94%34.96%36.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.562.602.8042.02%39.01%38.46%35.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 25.09%3.99odd justa
EV +0.367%
Vantagem +0.092%
Kelly +0.122%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.17%25.02%25.08%27.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.563.554.0033.33%28.10%28.17%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV +0.367%E +0.092%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.40%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.04%EV -4.40%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.03%E -0.723%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.03%E -0.723%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.91%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 02:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.77%E -4.22%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-01 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.18%E -5.54%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -5.00%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -6.59%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.67%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.91%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| Suprabets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.20%EV -9.79%E -4.33%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.42%EV -7.62%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.38%EV -10.17%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 11:43 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -8.99%E -3.94%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-03 04:15 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.32%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.32%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.32%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 04:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 04:09 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 04:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.44%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.63%EV -16.72%E -7.03%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.94%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.83%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.08%EV -16.72%E -7.03%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.09%EV -19.71%E -6.16%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-04-04 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -16.17%E -7.70%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -16.02%E -6.68%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -24.72%E -8.24%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 22.6% | 2026-04-03 04:15 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.11% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.11% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.11% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42% | 2.2% | 2026-04-04 11:55 |