La scuola delle quote

Erzgebirge Aue v TSG Hoffenheim II

Inizio: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Erzgebirge Aue (Casa)

Previsione 39.92%2.51quota equa
EV -3.00%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.53%40.04%39.96%41.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.312.302.4347.62%43.24%43.48%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

TSG Hoffenheim II (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.99%2.86quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -0.723%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.95%34.94%34.96%36.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.562.602.8042.02%39.01%38.46%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.09%3.99quota equa
EV +0.367%
Vantaggio +0.092%
Kelly +0.122%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.17%25.02%25.08%27.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.563.554.0033.33%28.10%28.17%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV +0.367%E +0.092%K +0.122%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 11:30
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.26%EV -5.40%E -2.28%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.04%EV -4.40%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 11:55
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.03%E -0.723%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 11:45
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.18%EV -4.20%E -1.75%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.44%EV -2.03%E -0.723%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 11:44
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -3.77%E -1.37%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 11:44
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 11:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -8.19%E -3.56%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -7.27%E -2.74%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.91%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 02:49
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -10.77%E -4.22%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-01 15:39
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -12.18%E -5.54%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -7.16%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 09:15
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -5.00%E -2.10%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 11:29
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.19%E -2.64%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 11:30
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -6.59%E -2.82%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 11:29
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.67%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.91%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 11:30
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.67%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 09:15
Suprabets2.26I 44.25%NM 40.20%EV -9.79%E -4.33%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.42%EV -7.62%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.38%EV -10.17%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 11:43
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:29
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:29
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:30
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:29
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:29
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:29
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -3.00%E -1.24%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.78%EV -13.22%E -5.33%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:29
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -8.99%E -3.94%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 11:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -12.52%E -5.01%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -12.18%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-03 04:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.32%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 11:45
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.32%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -8.32%E -3.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 11:44
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 04:08
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 04:09
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.19%E -4.53%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.02%E -3.47%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 04:09
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.44%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.63%EV -16.72%E -7.03%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.94%EV -14.69%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-04 11:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 38.83%EV -14.18%E -6.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.08%EV -16.72%E -7.03%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.09%EV -19.71%E -6.16%K -8.96%G +0.000%19.8%2026-04-04 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 38.83%EV -16.17%E -7.70%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 33.98%EV -16.02%E -6.68%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.18%EV -24.72%E -8.24%K -12.36%G +0.000%22.6%2026-04-03 04:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.11%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-04-04 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.11%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-04-04 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.11%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-04-04 11:55