La scuola delle quote

Erzgebirge Aue v SC Verl

Inizio: 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC

Finale: Erzgebirge Aue 1–1 SC Verl

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Erzgebirge Aue (Casa)

Previsione 25.13%3.98quota equa
EV +0.537%
Vantaggio +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.21%25.04%25.07%26.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.643.704.0031.25%27.46%27.03%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Verl (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.71%1.93quota equa
EV -4.33%
Vantaggio -2.34%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.14%51.95%51.71%54.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.751.771.8561.73%57.05%56.50%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.15%4.32quota equa
EV +0.479%
Vantaggio +0.110%
Kelly +0.143%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.35%23.01%23.22%25.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.853.804.3430.77%25.96%26.32%23.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -11.05%E -6.43%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.863%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:01
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -12.60%E -7.46%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 07:40
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 07:39
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 13:59
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:01
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:00
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.43%E -4.15%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:01
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:01
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:01
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -11.05%E -6.43%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 07:25
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 07:24
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 07:24
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 14:01
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.54%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.97%EV +0.479%E +0.110%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 14:01
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -14.15%E -8.53%K -21.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Suprabets3.57I 28.01%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.863%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.51I 28.49%NM 26.14%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 23.71%EV -10.40%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:00
LowVig.ag3.51I 28.49%NM 26.14%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 23.71%EV -10.40%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV +0.247%E +0.057%K +0.074%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 13:59
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:01
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.64%E -8.17%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -16.65%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -16.22%E -10.01%K -26.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -24.76%E -7.62%K -11.00%G +0.000%21.1%2026-04-12 14:00
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 14:00
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 50.37%EV -14.67%E -8.89%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.44%EV -21.28%E -6.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-12 13:58
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -19.57%E -6.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -13.18%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-12 14:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-04-12 14:00