La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Erzgebirge Aue v SC Verl
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Predicción 25.13%3.98momio equitativo
EV +0.537%
Ventaja +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.21%25.04%25.07%26.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.643.704.0031.25%27.46%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SC Verl (Visitante)
Predicción 51.71%1.93momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -5.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.14%51.95%51.71%54.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.751.771.8561.73%57.05%56.50%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.15%4.32momio equitativo
EV +0.479%
Ventaja +0.110%
Kelly +0.143%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.35%23.01%23.22%25.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.853.804.3430.77%25.96%26.32%23.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -11.05%E -6.43%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -12.60%E -7.46%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 07:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 07:39 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.43%E -4.15%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -11.05%E -6.43%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:25 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:24 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.54%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.97%EV +0.479%E +0.110%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -14.15%E -8.53%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Suprabets | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.14%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.71%EV -10.40%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.14%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.71%EV -10.40%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV +0.247%E +0.057%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.64%E -8.17%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -16.65%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -16.22%E -10.01%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -24.76%E -7.62%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.37%EV -14.67%E -8.89%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.44%EV -21.28%E -6.26%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-12 13:58 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -19.57%E -6.12%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -13.18%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |