L’École des cotesFrançais
Erzgebirge Aue v SC Verl
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.537%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.21%25.04%25.07%26.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.643.704.0031.25%27.46%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
SC Verl (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.71%1.93cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -5.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.14%51.95%51.71%54.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.751.771.8561.73%57.05%56.50%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.15%4.32cote équitable
EV +0.479%
Avantage +0.110%
Kelly +0.143%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.35%23.01%23.22%25.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.853.804.3430.77%25.96%26.32%23.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -11.05%E -6.43%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -12.60%E -7.46%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 07:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -3.23%E -0.840%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-12 07:39 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.32%EV -7.43%E -4.15%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.44%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -11.05%E -6.43%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:25 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:24 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 07:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Pinnacle | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.54%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.97%EV +0.479%E +0.110%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.69%EV -14.15%E -8.53%K -21.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Suprabets | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.55%EV -10.27%E -2.88%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -10.53%E -6.09%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.14%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.71%EV -10.40%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.14%EV -11.78%E -3.36%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.71%EV -10.40%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Betway | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.35%EV +0.247%E +0.057%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 13:59 |
| 888sport | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Sky Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -13.64%E -8.17%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -16.65%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.60%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 50.99%EV -16.22%E -10.01%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.41%EV -24.76%E -7.62%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.47%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.19%EV -17.06%E -5.17%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 50.37%EV -14.67%E -8.89%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.44%EV -21.28%E -6.26%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-12 13:58 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.77%EV -19.57%E -6.12%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.39%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -13.18%E -3.51%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 14:00 |