Language:English
Alemannia Aachen v TSV Havelse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 71.76%1.39fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -3.99%
Kelly -16.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.09%72.01%71.59%74.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.261.251.3283.33%79.31%79.68%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSV Havelse (Visit)
Prediction 12.62%7.92fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.260%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 8.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.31%12.64%12.74%14.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.317.308.0716.67%13.67%13.70%12.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.62%6.40fair odd
EV +9.31%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.145%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.34%15.35%15.68%18.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.785.957.0022.22%17.30%16.81%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 71.76%; TSV Havelse (Visit): 12.62%; Draw: 15.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +9.31%E +1.33%K +1.55%G +0.145% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -1.57%E -0.201%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +9.31%E +1.33%K +1.55%G +0.145% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.66%EV +1.84%E +0.227%K +0.260%G +0.005% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 14.84%EV -0.994%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -2.40%E -0.384%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.73%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -9.14%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.73%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -9.14%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -11.01%E -8.88%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -12.45%E -10.20%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.22%EV -13.88%E -11.57%K -69.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.44%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.67%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.87%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.67%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.87%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -9.43%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.95%EV -9.58%E -7.60%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.42%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -9.43%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:21 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.36%E -0.714%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.96%EV -11.01%E -8.88%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.36%E -0.714%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -5.27%E -3.99%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -18.80%E -3.61%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.09%EV -12.45%E -10.20%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.85%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.06%EV -28.17%E -6.12%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-05-16 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54%EV -13.88%E -11.57%K -69.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 11.92%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -29.73%E -6.61%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |