L’École des cotes

Alemannia Aachen v TSV Havelse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : Alemannia Aachen 6–1 TSV Havelse

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 71.76%1.39cote équitable
EV -5.27%
Avantage -3.99%
Kelly -16.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.09%72.01%71.59%74.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.261.251.3283.33%79.31%79.68%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TSV Havelse (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.62%7.92cote équitable
EV +1.84%
Avantage +0.227%
Kelly +0.260%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 8.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.31%12.64%12.74%14.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.317.308.0716.67%13.67%13.70%12.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.62%6.40cote équitable
EV +9.31%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.145%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.34%15.35%15.68%18.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.785.957.0022.22%17.30%16.81%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +9.31%E +1.33%K +1.55%G +0.145%6.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -1.57%E -0.201%K -0.231%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +9.31%E +1.33%K +1.55%G +0.145%7.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.66%EV +1.84%E +0.227%K +0.260%G +0.005%6.34I 15.77%NM 14.84%EV -0.994%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -2.40%E -0.384%K -0.457%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 11:15
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:25
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 71.73%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -9.14%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 71.73%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -9.14%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -11.01%E -8.88%K -45.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 11:15
Unibet (NL)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
Unibet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
Casumo1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
Unibet (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:15
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -12.45%E -10.20%K -56.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 11:25
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 72.22%EV -13.88%E -11.57%K -69.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.44%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-16 11:20
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.67%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.87%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:15
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 71.67%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.87%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:15
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -9.43%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 11:20
Suprabets1.26I 79.37%NM 71.95%EV -9.58%E -7.60%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.42%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -9.43%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 11:21
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:25
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.36%E -0.714%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.96%EV -11.01%E -8.88%K -45.88%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:20
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:20
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:20
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.36%E -0.714%K -0.824%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 11:19
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 11:25
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-16 11:05
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -5.27%E -3.99%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -18.80%E -3.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 10:48
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 68.09%EV -12.45%E -10.20%K -56.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.85%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.06%EV -28.17%E -6.12%K -7.82%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-16 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54%EV -13.88%E -11.57%K -69.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.92%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -29.73%E -6.61%K -8.49%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64%1.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64%1.9%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64%1.9%2026-05-16 11:25