La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alemannia Aachen v TSV Havelse
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Predicción 71.76%1.39momio equitativo
EV -5.27%
Ventaja -3.99%
Kelly -16.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.09%72.01%71.59%74.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.251.3283.33%79.31%79.68%75.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSV Havelse (Visitante)
Predicción 12.62%7.92momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +0.227%
Kelly +0.260%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.31%12.64%12.74%14.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.317.308.0716.67%13.67%13.70%12.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.62%6.40momio equitativo
EV +9.31%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.55%
Crecimiento +0.145%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.34%15.35%15.68%18.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.785.957.0022.22%17.30%16.81%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +9.31%E +1.33%K +1.55%G +0.145% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -1.57%E -0.201%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV +9.31%E +1.33%K +1.55%G +0.145% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.66%EV +1.84%E +0.227%K +0.260%G +0.005% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 14.84%EV -0.994%E -0.157%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.84%EV -2.40%E -0.384%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.31%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.73%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -9.14%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.73%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.85%EV -9.14%E -1.27%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -11.01%E -8.88%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Casumo | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.60%EV -11.73%E -9.54%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.59%EV -12.45%E -10.20%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.22%EV -13.88%E -11.57%K -69.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.44%EV -6.30%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.67%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.87%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.67%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -7.87%E -1.33%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.81%EV -9.43%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Suprabets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.95%EV -9.58%E -7.60%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.42%EV -7.88%E -1.08%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -9.43%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 11:21 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -5.36%E -0.714%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.96%EV -11.01%E -8.88%K -45.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -10.21%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -7.42%E -5.75%K -25.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -5.36%E -0.714%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.66%EV -10.29%E -8.24%K -41.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.51%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.83%EV -14.11%E -2.57%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -8.14%E -6.36%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV +0.953%E +0.119%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -6.71%E -5.16%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.02%E -3.43%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.64%EV -5.27%E -3.99%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -17.98%E -2.77%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -18.80%E -3.61%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 10:48 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.09%EV -12.45%E -10.20%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.85%EV -24.29%E -4.05%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.06%EV -28.17%E -6.12%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-05-16 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 69.54%EV -13.88%E -11.57%K -69.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 11.92%EV -11.67%E -1.67%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -29.73%E -6.61%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.95% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |