Language:English
Alemannia Aachen v Schweinfurt
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 65.59%1.52fair odd
EV -0.954%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.56%65.78%65.43%68.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.411.5175.19%70.24%70.92%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Schweinfurt (Visit)
Prediction 14.49%6.90fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.202%
Kelly +0.236%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.98%14.44%14.52%17.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.105.855.887.0019.61%17.10%17.02%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV +0.587%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.145%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.64%19.78%20.05%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.424.405.0526.67%22.62%22.73%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 65.59%; Schweinfurt (Visit): 14.49%; Draw: 19.92%. For Schweinfurt (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.90. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +1.42%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +1.42%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-04 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.28%EV -7.51%E -5.33%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 13.93%EV -1.34%E -0.196%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.79%EV +0.587%E +0.116%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.48%E -6.87%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -8.72%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -8.72%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -9.48%E -6.87%K -24.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -9.45%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.90%EV -7.51%E -5.33%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.76%EV -10.17%E -1.64%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 14:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-04 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.41%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.09%EV -13.75%E -3.18%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-04 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -25.31%E -6.75%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-04 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -25.31%E -6.75%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -0.954%E -0.631%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -24.66%E -4.74%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 17:40 |