L’École des cotes

Alemannia Aachen v Schweinfurt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 65.59%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.954%
Avantage -0.631%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.56%65.78%65.43%68.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.421.411.5175.19%70.24%70.92%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Schweinfurt (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.49%6.90cote équitable
EV +1.42%
Avantage +0.202%
Kelly +0.236%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.98%14.44%14.52%17.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.105.855.887.0019.61%17.10%17.02%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.92%5.02cote équitable
EV +0.587%
Avantage +0.116%
Kelly +0.145%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%19.78%20.05%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.424.405.0526.67%22.62%22.73%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +1.42%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:35
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +1.42%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 16:15
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 67.28%EV -7.51%E -5.33%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.93%EV -1.34%E -0.196%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.79%EV +0.587%E +0.116%K +0.145%G +0.001%5.4%2026-03-04 17:35
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:35
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:35
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 14:09
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.48%E -6.87%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 17:35
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -8.72%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 14:10
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -8.72%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 14:10
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -9.48%E -6.87%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -9.45%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:40
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.90%EV -7.51%E -5.33%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.76%EV -10.17%E -1.64%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 14:10
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 14:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 17:35
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 65.41%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.09%EV -13.75%E -3.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-04 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 17:39
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -25.31%E -6.75%K -9.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-04 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -25.31%E -6.75%K -9.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-04 17:35
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -0.954%E -0.631%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -24.66%E -4.74%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.7%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%2.1%2026-03-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%2.1%2026-03-04 17:40