Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alemannia Aachen v Schweinfurt

Início: 2026-03-04 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Previsão 65.59%1.52odd justa
EV -0.954%
Vantagem -0.631%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.56%65.78%65.43%68.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.421.411.5175.19%70.24%70.92%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Schweinfurt (Visitante)

Previsão 14.49%6.90odd justa
EV +1.42%
Vantagem +0.202%
Kelly +0.236%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.98%14.44%14.52%17.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.105.855.887.0019.61%17.10%17.02%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.92%5.02odd justa
EV +0.587%
Vantagem +0.116%
Kelly +0.145%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.64%19.78%20.05%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.424.405.0526.67%22.62%22.73%19.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 65.59%; Schweinfurt (Visitante): 14.49%; Empate: 19.92%. Para Schweinfurt (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.90. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.42%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -10.14%E -7.40%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +1.42%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +1.42%E +0.202%K +0.236%G +0.003%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-04 16:15
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.28%EV -7.51%E -5.33%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 13.93%EV -1.34%E -0.196%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.79%EV +0.587%E +0.116%K +0.145%G +0.001%5.4%2026-03-04 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.20%E -4.34%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.409%E -0.082%K -0.102%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:35
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -2.21%E -0.327%K -0.384%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 14:09
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -9.48%E -6.87%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.83%E -0.896%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-04 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -8.72%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 14:10
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.33%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.72%EV -8.72%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.38%E -1.59%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 14:10
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -9.48%E -6.87%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -9.45%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.38%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.90%EV -7.51%E -5.33%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.76%EV -10.17%E -1.64%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.51%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -2.40%E -0.490%K -0.616%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 14:10
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.86%E -4.83%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.39%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 17:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 14:29
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-04 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.41%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -13.07%E -2.18%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.09%EV -13.75%E -3.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-04 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -8.17%E -5.83%K -20.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -16.69%E -2.90%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.36%E -2.81%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.37%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-04 17:39
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -10.79%E -7.94%K -29.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-04 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -25.31%E -6.75%K -9.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-04 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 62.64%EV -12.76%E -9.59%K -38.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.15%EV -20.32%E -3.69%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.22%EV -25.31%E -6.75%K -9.20%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-04 17:35
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -0.954%E -0.631%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -24.66%E -4.74%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -1.61%E -1.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -26.11%E -5.12%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -16.34%E -3.89%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.7%2026-03-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%2.1%2026-03-04 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.56%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.24%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%2.1%2026-03-04 17:40