Language:English
Alemannia Aachen v SC Verl
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prediction 43.12%2.32fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -4.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.66%43.30%43.03%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.102.2051.28%48.34%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Verl (Visit)
Prediction 31.84%3.14fair odd
EV +3.16%
Edge +0.975%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%31.52%31.96%32.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.912.883.2438.46%34.36%34.72%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.05%3.99fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%25.18%25.00%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.653.9030.77%27.93%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 43.12%; SC Verl (Visit): 31.84%; Draw: 25.05%. For SC Verl (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV +3.16%E +0.975%K +1.41%G +0.045% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -12.59%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV +1.89%E +0.589%K +0.857%G +0.016% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -9.03%E -4.28%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -1.30%E -0.419%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 17:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 06:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 06:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -18.60%E -5.72%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.32%E -0.596%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 06:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.59%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -3.58%E -0.929%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 06:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.73%E -3.61%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 06:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -16.10%E -4.81%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-09 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -8.59%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 06:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.34%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.51%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.15%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-08-09 17:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-09 04:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-08-09 04:13 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64% | 1.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |