The School of Odds
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Alemannia Aachen v SC Verl

2026-08-09 17:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prediction 45.67%2.19fair odd
EV -6.37%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -6.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.37%45.77%45.83%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.0554.64%50.66%50.63%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Verl (Visit)

Prediction 29.87%3.35fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.620%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%29.84%29.74%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.3036.36%33.40%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.45%4.09fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.66%24.40%24.43%24.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.703.704.0029.41%27.04%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 45.67%; SC Verl (Visit): 29.87%; Draw: 24.45%. For SC Verl (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.30, with an expected value of -1.43%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -2.18%E -0.546%K -0.728%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 08:44
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 18:50
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 05:14
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 05:14
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.68%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 17:40
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 46.87%EV -8.19%E -4.08%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.35%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.79%EV -3.16%E -0.798%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 04:35
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -1.43%E -0.432%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 14:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 18:54
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -11.88%E -4.03%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 13:32
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-04 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 18:20
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.97%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 18:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.40%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -14.27%E -4.97%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.40%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -14.27%E -4.97%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-04 08:59
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-04 08:59
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-04 09:00
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 08:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 09:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 09:00
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 08:59
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.91%EV -10.02%E -5.09%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.89%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 09:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 04:38
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-04 04:38
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-04 04:24
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-04 04:24
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-04 04:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -10.93%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -16.36%E -5.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 18:30
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 45.74%EV -11.39%E -5.87%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-04 04:39
Suprabets1.91I 52.36%NM 46.31%EV -12.76%E -6.68%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 29.58%EV -10.69%E -3.57%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 24.10%EV -10.25%E -2.79%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-04 04:29
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -16.42%E -8.97%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.90%EV -17.86%E -6.49%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.66%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%17.7%2026-08-04 15:59
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -16.42%E -8.97%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -16.36%E -5.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -16.86%E -4.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-04 14:45
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -16.42%E -8.97%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -16.36%E -5.84%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -16.86%E -4.96%K -7.02%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-04 14:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.