The School of Odds

Alemannia Aachen v SC Verl

2026-08-09 17:30 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prediction 51.28%1.95fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -4.27%
Kelly -9.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.28%51.28%51.28%51.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.801.801.8056%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

SC Verl (Visit)

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.64%25.64%25.64%25.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.603.603.6028%28%28%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.08%23.08%23.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.004.004.0025%25%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.69%E -4.27%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-14 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.