Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alemannia Aachen v SC Verl

Início: 2026-08-09 17:30 UTC

Final: Alemannia Aachen 4–1 SC Verl

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Previsão 43.12%2.32odd justa
EV -5.15%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -4.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.66%43.30%43.03%45.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.072.102.2051.28%48.34%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SC Verl (Visitante)

Previsão 31.84%3.14odd justa
EV +3.16%
Vantagem +0.975%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.19%31.52%31.96%32.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.912.883.2438.46%34.36%34.72%30.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.05%3.99odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.596%
Kelly -0.801%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.75%25.18%25.00%27.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.583.653.9030.77%27.93%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alemannia Aachen (Local): 43.12%; SC Verl (Visitante): 31.84%; Empate: 25.05%. Para SC Verl (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.14. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.24, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.16%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV +3.16%E +0.975%K +1.41%G +0.045%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -12.59%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV +1.89%E +0.589%K +0.857%G +0.016%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:10
Suprabets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -9.03%E -4.28%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -1.30%E -0.419%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 17:08
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 17:08
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-09 17:15
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 06:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 06:34
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -18.60%E -5.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.32%E -0.596%K -0.801%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 06:30
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.59%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -3.58%E -0.929%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 06:00
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.73%E -3.61%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 06:35
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -16.10%E -4.81%K -6.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-09 17:10
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -8.59%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 11:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 06:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.34%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.51%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.15%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-09 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-09 04:14
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-09 04:13
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-08-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-08-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-08-09 17:25