Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alemannia Aachen v SC Verl

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 17:30 UTC

Score final : Alemannia Aachen 4–1 SC Verl

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Prévision 43.12%2.32cote équitable
EV -5.15%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -4.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.66%43.30%43.03%45.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.072.102.2051.28%48.34%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SC Verl (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.84%3.14cote équitable
EV +3.16%
Avantage +0.975%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.19%31.52%31.96%32.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.912.883.2438.46%34.36%34.72%30.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.596%
Kelly -0.801%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%25.18%25.00%27.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.583.653.9030.77%27.93%27.40%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alemannia Aachen (Local) : 43.12% ; SC Verl (Visiteur) : 31.84% ; Match nul : 25.05%. Pour SC Verl (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.14. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.24, soit une espérance positive de +3.16%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.40%EV +3.16%E +0.975%K +1.41%G +0.045%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.30%EV -12.59%E -3.61%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 17:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV +1.89%E +0.589%K +0.857%G +0.016%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 17:10
Suprabets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -9.03%E -4.28%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -1.30%E -0.419%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 17:08
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -2.89%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -6.01%E -2.76%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 17:08
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-09 17:15
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 06:30
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 06:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 06:34
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 17:05
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.06%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -18.60%E -5.72%K -8.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-09 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.30%E -3.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.32%E -0.596%K -0.801%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 06:30
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -8.59%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -3.58%E -0.929%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 06:00
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -5.15%E -2.34%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.73%E -3.61%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.13%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 06:35
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.77%E -6.88%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -16.10%E -4.81%K -6.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-09 17:10
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -8.59%E -4.05%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.27%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 11:35
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 17:19
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -11.61%E -5.66%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.83%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 06:00
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.46%E -4.50%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 16:45
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.34%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.51%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.15%EV -12.34%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%18.3%2026-08-09 17:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-09 04:14
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 42.72%EV -15.92%E -8.17%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -17.22%E -6.62%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.24%EV -17.35%E -5.26%K -7.54%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-09 04:13
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-08-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-08-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-08-09 17:25