A Escola das Odds

Alemannia Aachen v MSV Duisburg

Início: 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alemannia Aachen (Local)

Previsão 44.52%2.25odd justa
EV +1.51%
Vantagem +0.662%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.01%44.54%44.47%45.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.112.082.2852.36%47.40%48.08%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

MSV Duisburg (Visitante)

Previsão 29.68%3.37odd justa
EV -5.03%
Vantagem -1.57%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.84%29.81%29.75%33.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.943.003.2036.36%33.99%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.80%3.88odd justa
EV +3.20%
Vantagem +0.800%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.34%25.65%25.78%27.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.473.404.0033.33%28.83%29.41%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +3.20%E +0.800%K +1.07%G +0.034%7.1%2026-04-23 06:09
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.38%EV -7.40%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.06%EV +1.65%E +0.419%K +0.562%G +0.009%5.5%2026-04-24 00:35
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.25%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:04
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.25%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 17:04
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:04
Suprabets1.98I 50.51%NM 45.08%EV -11.85%E -5.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -13.04%E -4.45%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 03:04
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 23:52
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:14
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:14
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 11:14
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:14
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 11:15
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-24 03:49
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -16.90%E -6.04%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-23 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 17:05
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -8.29%E -4.02%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -9.48%E -3.11%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 11:14
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 20:04
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 20:03
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:34
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:34
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:34
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -13.93%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -16.90%E -6.04%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -19.50%E -6.25%K -9.20%G +0.000%20.1%2026-04-23 23:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -14.53%E -5.04%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -22.60%E -7.53%K -11.30%G +0.000%20.4%2026-04-24 03:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%3.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%3.7%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.2%2026-04-24 03:35