La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Alemannia Aachen v MSV Duisburg
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Alemannia Aachen (Casa)
Previsione 44.52%2.25quota equa
EV +1.51%
Vantaggio +0.662%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescita +0.018%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.01%44.54%44.47%45.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.112.082.2852.36%47.40%48.08%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
MSV Duisburg (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.68%3.37quota equa
EV -5.03%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.84%29.81%29.75%33.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.943.003.2036.36%33.99%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 25.80%3.88quota equa
EV +3.20%
Vantaggio +0.800%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescita +0.034%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.34%25.65%25.78%27.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.473.404.0033.33%28.83%29.41%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +3.20%E +0.800%K +1.07%G +0.034% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.38%EV -7.40%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.06%EV +1.65%E +0.419%K +0.562%G +0.009% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.25%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.25%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Suprabets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.08%EV -11.85%E -5.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -13.04%E -4.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 23:52 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -16.90%E -6.04%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -8.29%E -4.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -9.48%E -3.11%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:03 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -13.93%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -16.90%E -6.04%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -19.50%E -6.25%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -14.53%E -5.04%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -22.60%E -7.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |