Langue:Français
Alemannia Aachen v MSV Duisburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alemannia Aachen (Local)
Prévision 44.52%2.25cote équitable
EV +1.51%
Avantage +0.662%
Kelly +1.18%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 2.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.01%44.54%44.47%45.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.112.082.2852.36%47.40%48.08%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.68%3.37cote équitable
EV -5.03%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.84%29.81%29.75%33.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.943.003.2036.36%33.99%33.33%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.80%3.88cote équitable
EV +3.20%
Avantage +0.800%
Kelly +1.07%
Croissance +0.034%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.34%25.65%25.78%27.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.473.404.0033.33%28.83%29.41%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alemannia Aachen (Local) : 44.52% ; MSV Duisburg (Visiteur) : 29.68% ; Match nul : 25.80%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.88. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.20%.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +3.20%E +0.800%K +1.07%G +0.034% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 06:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.38%EV -7.40%E -2.37%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.06%EV +1.65%E +0.419%K +0.562%G +0.009% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.25%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -3.25%E -0.867%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.03%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.08%EV -11.85%E -5.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.46%EV -13.04%E -4.45%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -5.83%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -7.39%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 23:52 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -6.51%E -2.07%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.00%E -2.58%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -16.90%E -6.04%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-23 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV +1.51%E +0.662%K +1.18%G +0.018% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -18.38%E -6.69%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-19 17:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.83%EV -8.29%E -4.02%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -9.48%E -3.11%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 20:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.97%E -3.66%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.18%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -13.93%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.11%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -16.90%E -6.04%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -19.50%E -6.25%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-04-23 23:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.48%EV -14.96%E -7.83%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.84%EV -14.53%E -5.04%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.68%EV -22.60%E -7.53%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |