Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 49.09%2.04fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.41%49.24%48.77%50.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.881.901.9657.80%53.21%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)
Prediction 26.43%3.78fair odd
EV +0.434%
Edge +0.114%
Kelly +0.155%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.30%26.67%29.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.403.8032.26%29.93%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.48%4.08fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.691%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.10%24.46%24.55%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.683.754.0032.26%27.21%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 49.09%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 26.43%; Draw: 24.48%. For FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.434%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 06:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 07:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV +0.170%E +0.045%K +0.061%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 11:58 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.71%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -6.70%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 24.52%EV -9.17%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 07:37 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 08:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 20:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 20:13 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 05:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 14:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 02:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 05:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.10%E -8.05%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-05 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 06:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 06:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -16.76%E -4.93%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-05 11:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -15.08%E -8.72%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 05:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 47.65%EV -15.08%E -8.72%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.76%EV -15.42%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.59%EV -24.11%E -7.78%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 21.3% | 2026-04-04 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 47.55%EV -14.10%E -8.05%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.60%EV -20.43%E -6.29%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-05 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-05 14:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98% | 1.7% | 2026-04-05 14:05 |