L’École des cotes

1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prévision 49.09%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -3.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.41%49.24%48.77%50.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.881.901.9657.80%53.21%52.63%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.43%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.434%
Avantage +0.114%
Kelly +0.155%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%26.30%26.67%29.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.403.8032.26%29.93%29.41%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.48%4.08cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.518%
Kelly -0.691%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.10%24.46%24.55%26.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.683.754.0032.26%27.21%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 06:14
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 06:14
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 07:29
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV +0.170%E +0.045%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:00
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:58
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.71%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -6.70%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.52%EV -9.17%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 07:37
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 08:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 20:14
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:15
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:13
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:14
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 05:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 14:25
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 02:34
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 05:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:19
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.10%E -8.05%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 11:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -16.76%E -4.93%K -6.98%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 11:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -15.08%E -8.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 05:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.65%EV -15.08%E -8.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.76%EV -15.42%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.59%EV -24.11%E -7.78%K -11.48%G +0.000%21.3%2026-04-04 14:40
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 47.55%EV -14.10%E -8.05%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.60%EV -20.43%E -6.29%K -9.08%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-05 13:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-05 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-04-05 14:05