La scuola delle quote

1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04

Inizio: 2026-04-05 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

1. FC Saarbrücken (Casa)

Previsione 49.09%2.04quota equa
EV -3.79%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -3.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.41%49.24%48.77%50.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.881.901.9657.80%53.21%52.63%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.43%3.78quota equa
EV +0.434%
Vantaggio +0.114%
Kelly +0.155%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.53%26.30%26.67%29.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.343.403.8032.26%29.93%29.41%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.48%4.08quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -0.518%
Kelly -0.691%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.10%24.46%24.55%26.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.683.754.0032.26%27.21%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 06:14
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 06:14
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV +0.434%E +0.114%K +0.155%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 07:29
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.62%EV -7.71%E -4.10%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV +0.170%E +0.045%K +0.061%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.28%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 13:00
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:58
Suprabets1.83I 54.64%NM 49.71%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.77%EV -6.70%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.52%EV -9.17%E -2.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 07:37
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 10:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 08:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.47%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 20:14
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:15
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 20:13
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.75%E -2.99%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 20:14
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -6.73%E -3.54%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 05:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 14:25
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -6.24%E -3.27%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 02:34
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -10.17%E -5.56%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 05:45
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 14:19
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.10%E -8.05%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 11:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.19%E -4.97%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 06:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -11.64%E -6.47%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -16.76%E -4.93%K -6.98%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-05 11:04
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -15.08%E -8.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 05:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.65%EV -15.08%E -8.72%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.76%EV -15.42%E -4.82%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.59%EV -24.11%E -7.78%K -11.48%G +0.000%21.3%2026-04-04 14:40
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -3.79%E -1.93%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -4.28%E -2.19%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 47.55%EV -14.10%E -8.05%K -18.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.60%EV -20.43%E -6.29%K -9.08%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-05 13:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-05 14:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-04-05 14:05