Language:English
1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)
Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -7.23%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.23%42.30%42.27%45.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.102.102.2051.55%47.66%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)
Prediction 32.73%3.06fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.469%
Kelly +0.692%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.17%32.72%32.52%33.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.803.1038.46%35.19%35.71%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.11%3.98fair odd
EV +0.425%
Edge +0.106%
Kelly +0.142%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.59%24.98%25.20%26.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.573.554.0031.25%28.03%28.17%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 42.17%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 32.73%; Draw: 25.11%. For FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -18.20%E -9.38%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -1.82%E -0.606%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.09%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.425%E +0.106%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.32%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.32%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -7.66%E -3.50%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.23%EV -7.71%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.97%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.90%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.25%EV -7.71%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 24.85%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 06:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.36%EV -10.19%E -4.78%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.48%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 03:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.75%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.58%EV -12.29%E -5.91%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 33.29%EV -12.95%E -4.87%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.13%EV -7.86%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-08 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-09 02:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-09 02:57 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.43% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |