Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04

2026-09-12 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

48%

28%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prediction 47.53%2.10fair odd

EV -7.32%

Edge -3.76%

Kelly -7.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.53%47.53%47.53%47.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.951.951.951.9551.28%51.28%51.28%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit)

Prediction 28.08%3.56fair odd

EV -7.32%

Edge -2.22%

Kelly -3.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.08%28.08%28.08%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.303.303.303.3030.30%30.30%30.30%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.39%4.10fair odd

EV -7.32%

Edge -1.93%

Kelly -2.62%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.39%24.39%24.39%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.803.803.803.8026.32%26.32%26.32%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local): 47.53%; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visit): 28.08%; Draw: 24.39%. For 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.95, with an expected value of -7.32%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.32%E -3.76%K -7.71%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.32%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-31 00:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.