语言:简体中文
1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
1. FC Saarbrücken (主队)
预测 42.17%2.37公平赔率
EV -7.23%
优势 -3.29%
Kelly -6.03%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.20
博彩公司预测分布
41.23%42.30%42.27%45.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.102.102.2051.55%47.66%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Ingolstadt 04 (客队)
预测 32.73%3.06公平赔率
EV +1.45%
优势 +0.469%
Kelly +0.692%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
29.17%32.72%32.52%33.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.842.803.1038.46%35.19%35.71%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.11%3.98公平赔率
EV +0.425%
优势 +0.106%
Kelly +0.142%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.59%24.98%25.20%26.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.573.554.0031.25%28.03%28.17%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：1. FC Saarbrücken (主队)：42.17%；FC Ingolstadt 04 (客队)：32.73%；平局：25.11%。 对于“FC Ingolstadt 04 (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.06。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.10，对应+1.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -18.20%E -9.38%K -19.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -1.82%E -0.606%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.09%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.425%E +0.106%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.32%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.32%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 03:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -7.66%E -3.50%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.23%EV -7.71%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.97%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.90%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.25%EV -7.71%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 24.85%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 06:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.36%EV -10.19%E -4.78%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.48%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 03:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.75%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 02:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.58%EV -12.29%E -5.91%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 33.29%EV -12.95%E -4.87%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.13%EV -7.86%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-08 14:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-09 02:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-09-09 02:57 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.43% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 14:30 |