L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

1. FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Saarbrücken 0–1 FC Ingolstadt 04

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prévision 42.17%2.37cote équitable
EV -7.23%
Avantage -3.29%
Kelly -6.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.23%42.30%42.27%45.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.942.102.102.2051.55%47.66%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.73%3.06cote équitable
EV +1.45%
Avantage +0.469%
Kelly +0.692%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.17%32.72%32.52%33.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.842.803.1038.46%35.19%35.71%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.11%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.425%
Avantage +0.106%
Kelly +0.142%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%24.98%25.20%26.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.573.554.0031.25%28.03%28.17%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local) : 42.17% ; FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur) : 32.73% ; Match nul : 25.11%. Pour FC Ingolstadt 04 (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.06. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:54
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:54
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -14.82%E -7.34%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV +1.45%E +0.469%K +0.692%G +0.010%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -18.20%E -9.38%K -19.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -1.82%E -0.606%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-09 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.09%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV +0.425%E +0.106%K +0.142%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-08 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -5.75%E -2.00%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.11%E -1.92%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.32%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.32%EV -6.40%E -2.24%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 08:54
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 02:54
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -6.73%E -2.36%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 03:00
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.80%EV -7.66%E -3.50%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.23%EV -7.71%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.97%EV -1.83%E -0.469%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 13:55
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.90%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.25%EV -7.71%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 24.85%EV -8.11%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 21:14
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -5.85%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 12:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 06:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.36%EV -10.19%E -4.78%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 14:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.48%EV -10.61%E -5.00%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 12:05
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.87%E -3.06%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 03:01
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 02:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 02:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -8.36%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 02:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.23%E -3.29%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.75%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -8.36%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 02:54
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.00%E -3.64%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-09 12:10
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 12:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 12:08
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 16:29
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.78%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -11.64%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 12:10
Suprabets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.58%EV -12.29%E -5.91%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 33.29%EV -12.95%E -4.87%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 24.13%EV -7.86%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 14:04
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.80%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -13.27%E -5.01%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -12.13%E -3.47%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-09 12:10
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.23%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.47%EV -14.64%E -4.31%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-09 12:10
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.01%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -9.62%E -2.67%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-08 14:00
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-09 02:58
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.77%EV -15.67%E -7.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.13%EV -14.91%E -5.73%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.10%EV -19.66%E -6.14%K -8.94%G +0.000%19.7%2026-09-09 02:57
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%7.7%2026-09-09 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 42.57%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%7.7%2026-09-09 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 42.43%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%8.1%2026-09-09 14:30