Waldhof Mannheim v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

2026-08-21 16:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.2031.25%Mean

3.1531.75%Median

3.5028.57%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.35%3.795Min

31.38%3.187Max

28.87%3.464Mean

28.87%3.464Median

28.87%3.464IQM

29.20%3.425Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.87%

EV +1.03%Edge +0.294%Kelly +0.412%Growth +0.004%

Option 2: 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit)

Odds

1.8055.56%Min

1.9850.57%Mean

1.9152.49%Median

2.3043.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.93%2.443Min

47.30%2.114Max

44.11%2.267Mean

44.11%2.267Median

44.11%2.267IQM

43.69%2.289Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 44.11%

EV +1.46%Edge +0.636%Kelly +1.13%Growth +0.016%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2530.77%Min

3.3929.52%Mean

3.4029.41%Median

3.5028.57%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.70%3.890Min

27.69%3.612Max

27.02%3.701Mean

27.02%3.701Median

27.02%3.701IQM

27.11%3.689Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.02%

EV -5.43%Edge -1.55%Kelly -2.17%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Waldhof Mannheim (Local)	1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit) ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
BetMGM	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.38%EV -13.40% E -4.47% K -6.70% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.93%EV +1.46% E +0.636% K +1.13% G +0.016%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.69%EV -8.13% E -2.39% K -3.39% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV +1.03% E +0.294% K +0.412% G +0.004%	1.95I 51.28% NM 47.30%EV -13.98% E -7.17% K -14.71% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.35%EV -5.43% E -1.55% K -2.17% G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-06 22:09
Winamax (DE)	3.20I 31.25% NM 27.31%EV -7.63% E -2.38% K -3.47% G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76% NM 46.99%EV -17.95% E -9.65% K -20.87% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 25.70%EV -8.13% E -2.39% K -3.39% G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-06-23 11:30
Winamax (FR)	3.10I 32.26% NM 27.20%EV -10.52% E -3.39% K -5.01% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 46.85%EV -20.59% E -11.44% K -25.74% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 25.95%EV -12.19% E -3.75% K -5.42% G +0.000%	18.6%	2026-06-23 11:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth