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Waldhof Mannheim v 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waldhof Mannheim (Local)
Prediction 30.71%3.26fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.539%
Kelly -0.784%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.51%30.60%30.74%31.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.043.003.2035.09%32.94%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit)
Prediction 43.61%2.29fair odd
EV -6.24%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.57%43.57%43.65%45.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.102.1551.55%48.02%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV +0.143%
Edge +0.037%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%25.82%25.62%27.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.373.663.703.9029.67%27.33%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 30.71%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 43.61%; Draw: 25.68%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.143%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -2.42%E -0.638%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 13:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -1.73%E -0.539%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-21 13:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.97%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.78%E -6.39%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -12.47%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -14.96%E -7.67%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -14.96%E -7.67%K -15.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -15.39%E -7.93%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-21 15:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.65%EV -8.79%E -2.96%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.35%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-21 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.91%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.12%EV -13.47%E -4.00%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 15:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.