The School of Odds

Waldhof Mannheim v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

2026-08-21 16:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

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Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 30.83%3.24fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.523%
Kelly +0.750%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%30.24%30.83%32.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.652.882.853.3038%35%35%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit)

Prediction 41.56%2.41fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.52%42.25%41.56%44.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.102.3049%47%48%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -6.11%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%27.51%27.62%27.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.243.203.4033%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV +1.72%E +0.523%K +0.750%G +0.013%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -14.80%E -7.22%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-09 14:10
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 11:00
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -7.52%E -2.51%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.91%E -3.08%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.49%E -2.23%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 05:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.06%E -3.07%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 05:00
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -12.15%E -4.26%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.71%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 27.55%EV -12.18%E -3.83%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 04:59
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.56%EV -15.23%E -5.54%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.32%EV -12.73%E -6.06%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-25 05:00
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 31.19%EV -16.15%E -5.94%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 40.99%EV -13.97%E -6.75%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.82%EV -15.77%E -5.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-25 04:59
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -16.77%E -6.21%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-25 05:00
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 31.77%EV -18.31%E -6.91%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.07%EV -14.80%E -7.22%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.16%EV -14.39%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-25 05:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.