默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Waldhof Mannheim v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 16:00 UTC

最终结果: Waldhof Mannheim 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Waldhof Mannheim (主队)

预测 30.71%3.26公平赔率
EV -1.73%
优势 -0.539%
Kelly -0.784%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.51%30.60%30.74%31.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.043.003.2035.09%32.94%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Kaiserslautern (客队)

预测 43.61%2.29公平赔率
EV -6.24%
优势 -2.90%
Kelly -5.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
42.57%43.57%43.65%45.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.082.102.1551.55%48.02%47.62%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.68%3.89公平赔率
EV +0.143%
优势 +0.037%
Kelly +0.049%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.26%25.82%25.62%27.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.373.663.703.9029.67%27.33%27.03%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Waldhof Mannheim (主队):30.71%;1. FC Kaiserslautern (客队):43.61%;平局:25.68%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.89。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.90,对应+0.143%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-21 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -2.42%E -0.638%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 13:03
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -1.73%E -0.539%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 13:24
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.97%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 13:05
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 14:04
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.78%E -6.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 15:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -12.47%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -14.96%E -7.67%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -14.96%E -7.67%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -15.39%E -7.93%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 15:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.65%EV -8.79%E -2.96%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.35%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 15:55
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.91%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.12%EV -13.47%E -4.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 15:33
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。