預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Waldhof Mannheim v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

開賽時間： 2026-08-21 16:00 UTC

最終賽果： Waldhof Mannheim 0–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

23 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

31%

44%

26%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Waldhof Mannheim (主隊)

預測 30.71%3.26公平賠率

EV -1.73%

優勢 -0.539%

Kelly -0.784%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.20

博彩公司預測分布

29.51%30.60%30.74%31.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.853.043.003.2035.09%32.94%33.33%31.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

1. FC Kaiserslautern (客隊)

預測 43.61%2.29公平賠率

EV -6.24%

優勢 -2.90%

Kelly -5.42%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.15

博彩公司預測分布

42.57%43.57%43.65%45.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.942.082.102.1551.55%48.02%47.62%46.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 25.68%3.89公平賠率

EV +0.143%

優勢 +0.037%

Kelly +0.049%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.90

博彩公司預測分布

24.26%25.82%25.62%27.12%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.373.663.703.9029.67%27.33%27.03%25.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Waldhof Mannheim (主隊)：30.71%；1. FC Kaiserslautern (客隊)：43.61%；和局：25.68%。對於「和局」，該估計相當於3.89的公平十進位賠率。當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.90，對應+0.143%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (23 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	和局 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
Svenska Spel🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-21 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%EV -9.72%E -4.70%K -9.09%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV +0.143%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-21 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.16%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -2.42%E -0.638%K -0.866%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-21 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.28%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-21 13:03
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -1.73%E -0.539%K -0.784%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-21 13:24
LeoVegas🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-21 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 43.97%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-21 13:05
BetMGM🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-21 14:04
Grosvenor🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -12.78%E -6.39%K -12.78%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -4.99%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-08-21 15:55
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-21 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-08-21 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.43%EV -12.47%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.69%EV -10.60%E -5.17%K -10.09%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-08-21 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -14.96%E -7.67%K -15.75%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-21 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -14.96%E -7.67%K -15.75%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-21 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -9.40%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%	1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -15.39%E -7.93%K -16.38%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -7.56%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-21 15:54
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.97I 33.67%NM 30.65%EV -8.79%E -2.96%K -4.46%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.35%EV -8.42%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -10.13%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-08-21 15:55
888sport🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-21 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.24%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.70%E -3.73%K -5.29%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -6.33%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 42.91%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.37I 29.67%NM 27.12%EV -13.47%E -4.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-21 15:33

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。