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TSV 1860 München v Holstein Kiel

2026-08-22 16:00 UTC — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TSV 1860 München (Local)

Prediction 15.83%6.32fair odd
EV +2.90%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.526%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.51%15.83%15.76%17.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.976.006.5018.18%16.76%16.67%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holstein Kiel (Visit)

Prediction 65.65%1.52fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -9.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.79%65.78%65.59%67.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.421.4672.46%70.55%70.67%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.52%5.40fair odd
EV +1.86%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.413%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.11%18.39%18.66%20.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.824.805.5023.26%20.76%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: TSV 1860 München (Local): 15.83%; Holstein Kiel (Visit): 65.65%; Draw: 18.52%. For TSV 1860 München (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.32. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV +2.90%E +0.445%K +0.526%G +0.015%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 16:05
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.83%EV +1.31%E +0.205%K +0.243%G +0.003%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -4.15%E -2.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -12.96%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 21:58
Unibet (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV +1.31%E +0.205%K +0.243%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -12.96%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV +1.31%E +0.205%K +0.243%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -12.96%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV +1.31%E +0.205%K +0.243%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -12.96%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 20:10
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.76%EV +1.31%E +0.205%K +0.243%G +0.003%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -12.96%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 20:09
Codere (IT)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -1.85%E -0.299%K -0.356%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.25%EV -7.43%E -5.27%K -18.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 21:19
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -5.02%E -0.837%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 21:15
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.02%E -0.837%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.46%E -3.79%K -12.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 01:05
LeoVegas🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -5.02%E -0.837%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.78%E -4.77%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 21:19
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.02%E -0.837%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.55%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.880%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 21:19
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -8.19%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.79%EV -6.78%E -4.77%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -18.51%E -4.21%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-20 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.98%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.06%EV -9.40%E -6.81%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -20.36%E -4.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-20 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.98%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.06%EV -9.40%E -6.81%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -20.36%E -4.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-20 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -8.98%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.06%EV -9.40%E -6.81%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.56%EV -20.36%E -4.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-20 20:09
NetBet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -11.35%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.68%EV -9.40%E -6.81%K -24.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 01:39
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.12%E -4.28%K -14.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV +1.86%E +0.338%K +0.413%G +0.008%6.3%2026-08-22 01:34
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -11.10%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -11.10%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -12.93%E -2.35%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.67%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.86%EV -11.10%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-21 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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