預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

TSV 1860 München v Holstein Kiel

開賽時間: 2026-08-22 16:00 UTC

最終賽果: TSV 1860 München 0–2 Holstein Kiel

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

21 家博彩公司 (7 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

TSV 1860 München (主隊)

預測 16.23%6.16公平賠率
EV +5.49%
優勢 +0.845%
Kelly +0.999%
成長率 +0.055%

假設最高賠率為 6.50

博彩公司預測分布
14.13%16.18%16.35%16.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.505.986.006.5018.18%16.72%16.67%15.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Holstein Kiel (客隊)

預測 64.93%1.54公平賠率
EV -5.85%
優勢 -4.03%
Kelly -13.00%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.45

博彩公司預測分布
64.37%65.04%64.84%67.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.351.411.411.4574.07%71.11%70.92%68.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 18.84%5.31公平賠率
EV -2.04%
優勢 -0.393%
Kelly -0.486%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.20

博彩公司預測分布
18.18%18.78%18.80%19.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.604.895.005.2021.74%20.45%20.00%19.23%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:TSV 1860 München (主隊):16.23%;Holstein Kiel (客隊):64.93%;和局:18.84%。 對於「TSV 1860 München (主隊)」,該估計相當於6.16的公平十進位賠率。 當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.50,對應+5.49%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (21 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 15:19
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -11.69%E -8.60%K -32.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 09:24
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.80%E -5.49%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 15:19
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV +0.625%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.57%EV -7.80%E -5.49%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -2.04%E -0.393%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 15:19
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -0.998%E -0.164%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -10.39%E -7.53%K -27.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 15:19
Codere (IT)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.50%E -4.51%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.69%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.14%K -35.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.14%K -35.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.14%K -35.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 15:19
NetBet (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -5.87%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -9.74%E -7.01%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 15:18
LeoVegas🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 15:19
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 15:18
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -9.11%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -7.15%E -5.00%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:20
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.09%E -6.50%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:19
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.09%E -6.50%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.09%E -6.50%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 15:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。