语言:简体中文
TSV 1860 München v Holstein Kiel
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
TSV 1860 München (主队)
预测 16.23%6.16公平赔率
EV +5.49%
优势 +0.845%
Kelly +0.999%
增长率 +0.055%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.13%16.18%16.35%16.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.505.986.006.5018.18%16.72%16.67%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
Holstein Kiel (客队)
预测 64.93%1.54公平赔率
EV -5.85%
优势 -4.03%
Kelly -13.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
64.37%65.04%64.84%67.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.411.4574.07%71.11%70.92%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 18.84%5.31公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -0.393%
Kelly -0.486%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.20
博彩公司预测分布
18.18%18.78%18.80%19.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.604.895.005.2021.74%20.45%20.00%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：TSV 1860 München (主队)：16.23%；Holstein Kiel (客队)：64.93%；平局：18.84%。 对于“TSV 1860 München (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.16。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+5.49%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -8.45%E -5.99%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV +5.49%E +0.845%K +0.999%G +0.055% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -11.69%E -8.60%K -32.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.73%EV +3.87%E +0.605%K +0.717%G +0.028% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.41%EV -7.80%E -5.49%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.25%EV +0.625%E +0.101%K +0.120%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.57%EV -7.80%E -5.49%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.18%EV -2.04%E -0.393%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -0.998%E -0.164%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.93%EV -10.39%E -7.53%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.50%E -4.51%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.69%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.14%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.14%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -2.62%E -0.437%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -12.34%E -9.14%K -35.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.35%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -5.87%E -1.01%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.39%EV -9.74%E -7.01%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.58%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 15:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -6.68%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 15:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -9.11%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -7.15%E -5.00%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -5.85%E -4.03%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.81%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.09%E -6.50%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.09%E -6.50%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 15:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.74%E -1.95%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -9.09%E -6.50%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.52%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。