The School of OddsMSV Duisburg v Elversberg
Head to Head
Option 1: MSV Duisburg (Local)
Odds
3.6527.40%Min
3.9825.13%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.61%4.627Min
23.20%4.311Max
22.24%4.496Mean
22.03%4.540Median
22.24%4.496IQM
22.15%4.515Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.24%
EV -2.14%Edge -0.487%Kelly -0.631%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Elversberg (Visit)
Odds
1.6460.98%Min
1.7258.28%Mean
1.6959.17%Median
1.8354.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.79%1.969Min
55.94%1.787Max
53.39%1.873Mean
52.27%1.913Median
53.39%1.873IQM
53.18%1.880Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 53.39%
EV -2.29%Edge -1.25%Kelly -2.76%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.6127.72%Mean
3.6027.78%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.98%4.767Min
26.42%3.785Max
24.37%4.104Mean
25.70%3.891Median
24.37%4.104IQM
24.68%4.053Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 24.37%
EV +7.21%Edge +1.64%Kelly +2.12%Growth +0.153%
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | MSV Duisburg (Local) | Elversberg (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.08%EV -11.04% E -2.76% K -3.68% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 55.94%EV -11.90% E -7.21% K -18.31% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.98%EV +7.21% E +1.64% K +2.12% G +0.153% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.63I 27.55% NM 23.34%EV -19.27% E -5.31% K -7.33% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 55.37%EV -18.31% E -11.96% K -34.54% G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13% NM 21.29%EV -3.03% E -0.760% K -1.02% G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-06-24 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.61%EV -2.14% E -0.487% K -0.631% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -2.29% E -1.25% K -2.76% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.42%EV -12.28% E -3.41% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-11 09:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.03%EV -6.59% E -1.57% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 52.27%EV -5.49% E -3.10% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.70%EV -12.28% E -3.41% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.31%EV -8.82% E -2.15% K -2.84% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 52.28%EV -6.56% E -3.75% K -8.75% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.41%EV -12.28% E -3.41% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.80I 26.32% NM 22.92%EV -15.49% E -4.08% K -5.53% G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52% NM 51.84%EV -10.30% E -6.13% K -15.14% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 25.24%EV -15.94% E -4.62% K -6.51% G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03% NM 23.20%EV -17.71% E -4.79% K -6.56% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 50.79%EV -9.76% E -5.78% K -14.15% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.01%EV -19.59% E -5.94% K -8.52% G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-07-05 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40% NM 23.09%EV -18.82% E -5.16% K -7.10% G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98% NM 51.38%EV -12.43% E -7.58% K -19.43% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 25.53%EV -19.59% E -5.94% K -8.52% G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-07-05 10:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth