預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

MSV Duisburg v Elversberg

開賽時間: 2026-08-22 13:30 UTC

最終賽果: MSV Duisburg 1–3 Elversberg

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

MSV Duisburg (主隊)

預測 24.19%4.13公平賠率
EV -0.825%
優勢 -0.201%
Kelly -0.266%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.10

博彩公司預測分布
23.03%24.11%24.20%26.04%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.403.723.754.1029.41%26.88%26.67%24.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Elversberg (客隊)

預測 52.27%1.91公平賠率
EV -2.26%
優勢 -1.21%
Kelly -2.60%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.87

博彩公司預測分布
50.03%52.32%52.25%53.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.731.791.791.8757.80%55.75%55.87%53.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.55%4.25公平賠率
EV -3.46%
優勢 -0.845%
Kelly -1.12%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.10

博彩公司預測分布
23.03%23.57%23.55%24.23%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.703.903.954.1027.03%25.63%25.32%24.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:MSV Duisburg (主隊):24.19%;Elversberg (客隊):52.27%;和局:23.55%。 對於「MSV Duisburg (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.13的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為4.10,期望值為-0.825%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -0.825%E -0.201%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 12:54
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.35%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 09:49
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:19
Codere (IT)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.97%E -3.91%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:19
Betclic (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -8.01%E -4.55%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 13:20
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:24
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 13:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:25
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 06:35
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -5.40%E -2.98%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:24
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。