语言:简体中文
MSV Duisburg v Elversberg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MSV Duisburg (主队)
预测 24.19%4.13公平赔率
EV -0.825%
优势 -0.201%
Kelly -0.266%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.03%24.11%24.20%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.723.754.1029.41%26.88%26.67%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
Elversberg (客队)
预测 52.27%1.91公平赔率
EV -2.26%
优势 -1.21%
Kelly -2.60%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.87
博彩公司预测分布
50.03%52.32%52.25%53.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.791.791.8757.80%55.75%55.87%53.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.55%4.25公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -0.845%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.03%23.57%23.55%24.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.903.954.1027.03%25.63%25.32%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MSV Duisburg (主队)：24.19%；Elversberg (客队)：52.27%；平局：23.55%。 对于“MSV Duisburg (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.13。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.10，期望值为-0.825%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -0.825%E -0.201%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.46%E -0.845%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -4.35%E -2.38%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 09:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.66%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.97%E -3.91%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -6.87%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.68%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -9.35%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -8.01%E -4.55%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.08%E -2.13%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -8.54%E -4.88%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -9.29%E -2.48%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -8.17%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -10.50%E -2.84%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.53%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -11.71%E -3.21%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -2.26%E -1.21%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.92%E -3.59%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.82%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 06:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -15.34%E -4.38%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -5.40%E -2.98%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.53%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -17.76%E -5.22%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -7.49%E -4.23%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.88%E -3.48%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。