Language:English
Holstein Kiel v TSG Hoffenheim
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel (Local)
Prediction 17.15%5.83fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.73%17.24%17.24%18.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.135.055.5021.28%19.50%19.80%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TSG Hoffenheim (Visit)
Prediction 63.12%1.58fair odd
EV -5.32%
Edge -3.55%
Kelly -10.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.60%63.10%63.11%63.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.431.441.5074.07%69.97%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.73%5.07fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.336%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%19.67%19.65%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.544.505.0023.26%22.02%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Holstein Kiel (Local): 17.15%; TSG Hoffenheim (Visit): 63.12%; Draw: 19.73%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.00, with an expected value of -1.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -5.67%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.34%E -0.269%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 21:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.67%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -9.24%E -2.01%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-14 07:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.67%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.61%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -7.26%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-12 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.96%E -1.90%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47%EV -7.26%E -1.55%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.73%EV -10.82%E -2.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.50%EV -13.53%E -9.87%K -36.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.77%EV -13.18%E -3.00%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-15 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -12.53%E -2.46%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.60%EV -10.37%E -7.30%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.97%EV -12.20%E -2.74%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-13 19:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.25%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.21%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.25%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.21%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.25%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.21%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -14.25%E -2.85%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 63.28%EV -14.79%E -10.96%K -42.26%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.64%EV -14.17%E -3.26%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-10-13 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -17.68%E -3.68%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.06%EV -10.37%E -7.30%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -11.21%E -2.49%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-10 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.35%EV -19.39%E -4.13%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.60%EV -11.63%E -8.31%K -29.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.05%EV -15.16%E -3.52%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-10 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.