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Holstein Kiel v TSG Hoffenheim
Resultado del partido
Holstein Kiel (Local)
Predicción 17.27%5.79momio equitativo
EV +3.64%
Ventaja +0.607%
Kelly +0.728%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.65%17.22%17.32%18.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.405.406.0020.83%18.52%18.52%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
TSG Hoffenheim (Visitante)
Predicción 63.49%1.58momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -3.18%
Kelly -9.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%63.49%63.48%65.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.421.431.5074.63%70.27%69.93%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.24%5.20momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -0.763%
Kelly -0.954%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.73%19.29%19.21%19.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.724.755.0022.22%21.18%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Holstein Kiel (Local): 17.27%; TSG Hoffenheim (Visitante): 63.49%; Empate: 19.24%. Para Holstein Kiel (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.79. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (26 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +3.64%E +0.607%K +0.728%G +0.026% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-20 06:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.84%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-22 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-22 07:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-22 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-22 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-22 07:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -4.76%E -3.18%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.82%E -0.763%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 21:49 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-23 14:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 19:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.25%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.59%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-22 07:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-19 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.92%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-23 14:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-23 14:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.31%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-23 14:42 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.29%EV -12.38%E -8.97%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.29%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-22 07:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.29%EV -12.38%E -8.97%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.29%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-22 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.29%EV -12.38%E -8.97%K -32.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.29%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-22 07:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.32%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.63%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-23 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.32%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -8.63%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-23 19:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -11.91%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.57%EV -13.02%E -9.50%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.35%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-23 19:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.87%EV -11.91%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.22%EV -14.92%E -11.14%K -43.89%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.91%EV -12.47%E -2.74%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-23 14:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.30%EV -9.84%E -6.93%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-23 14:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -17.09%E -3.56%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -11.11%E -7.94%K -27.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-23 14:43 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.