默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Holstein Kiel v TSG Hoffenheim

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — DFB-Pokal

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Holstein Kiel (主队)

预测 17.27%5.79公平赔率
EV +3.64%
优势 +0.607%
Kelly +0.728%
增长率 +0.026%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.65%17.22%17.32%18.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.405.406.0020.83%18.52%18.52%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

TSG Hoffenheim (客队)

预测 63.49%1.58公平赔率
EV -4.76%
优势 -3.18%
Kelly -9.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
62.19%63.49%63.48%65.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.421.431.5074.63%70.27%69.93%66.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.24%5.20公平赔率
EV -3.82%
优势 -0.763%
Kelly -0.954%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.73%19.29%19.21%19.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.724.755.0022.22%21.18%21.05%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Holstein Kiel (主队):17.27%;TSG Hoffenheim (客队):63.49%;平局:19.24%。 对于“Holstein Kiel (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.79。 有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.00,由此产生+3.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +3.64%E +0.607%K +0.728%G +0.026%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 06:50
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.84%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 07:15
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 07:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 07:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV +0.185%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.00%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.97%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 07:10
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -4.76%E -3.18%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.82%E -0.763%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 21:49
picklebet_au🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 14:43
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-18 19:59
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.25%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV -9.59%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-22 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -5.00%E -0.909%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-19 11:45
LeoVegas🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.16%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.92%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -5.74%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 14:43
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.31%EV -10.48%E -7.43%K -25.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 14:42
Virgin Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.29%EV -12.38%E -8.97%K -32.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.29%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-22 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.29%EV -12.38%E -8.97%K -32.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.29%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-22 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.43%EV -6.72%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.29%EV -12.38%E -8.97%K -32.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.29%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-22 07:15
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.32%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -7.94%E -5.48%K -17.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.63%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 14:44
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -9.32%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -8.63%E -1.82%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 19:45
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.08%EV -11.91%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 63.57%EV -13.02%E -9.50%K -35.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.35%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-23 19:43
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.87%EV -11.91%E -2.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 64.22%EV -14.92%E -11.14%K -43.89%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.91%EV -12.47%E -2.74%K -3.51%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-23 14:43
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.30%EV -9.84%E -6.93%K -23.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.73%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 14:43
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.63%E -2.73%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.57%E -5.95%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -13.44%E -2.99%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 12:29
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -17.09%E -3.56%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.66%EV -11.11%E -7.94%K -27.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-23 14:43
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。