默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich

开赛时间: 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

最终结果: Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 Bayern Munich

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bayer Leverkusen (主队)

预测 19.65%5.09公平赔率
EV +0.191%
优势 +0.037%
Kelly +0.046%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布
18.83%19.74%19.76%20.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.824.805.1022.22%20.74%20.83%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bayern Munich (客队)

预测 60.72%1.65公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -1.39%
Kelly -3.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.61

博彩公司预测分布
59.21%60.62%60.55%61.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.481.531.531.6167.57%65.33%65.36%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.63%5.09公平赔率
EV -1.84%
优势 -0.368%
Kelly -0.460%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.60%19.64%19.69%20.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.774.805.0022.22%20.96%20.83%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Bayer Leverkusen (主队):19.65%;Bayern Munich (客队):60.72%;平局:19.63%。 对于“Bayer Leverkusen (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.09。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.10,对应+0.191%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV +0.191%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV +0.191%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:18
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:24
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:24
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:24
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:19
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -2.24%E -1.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 14:54
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:19
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:34
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。