L’École des cotesBayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Bayer Leverkusen (Local)
Prévision 19.65%5.09cote équitable
EV +0.191%
Avantage +0.037%
Kelly +0.046%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.83%19.74%19.76%20.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.824.805.1022.22%20.74%20.83%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bayern Munich (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.72%1.65cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -3.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.21%60.62%60.55%61.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.531.531.6167.57%65.33%65.36%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.63%5.09cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -0.368%
Kelly -0.460%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.60%19.64%19.69%20.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.774.805.0022.22%20.96%20.83%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV +0.191%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV +0.191%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 18:18 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Grosvenor | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 12:19 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -2.24%E -1.39%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| betfred_uk | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.