La scuola delle quote

Bayer Leverkusen v Bayern Munich

Inizio: 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

Finale: Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 Bayern Munich

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bayer Leverkusen (Casa)

Previsione 19.65%5.09quota equa
EV +0.191%
Vantaggio +0.037%
Kelly +0.046%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.83%19.74%19.76%20.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.824.805.1022.22%20.74%20.83%19.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bayern Munich (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.72%1.65quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -1.39%
Kelly -3.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.21%60.62%60.55%61.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.531.531.6167.57%65.33%65.36%62.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.63%5.09quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.368%
Kelly -0.460%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.60%19.64%19.69%20.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.504.774.805.0022.22%20.96%20.83%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV +0.191%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV +0.191%E +0.037%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 18:25
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 18:40
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:18
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:25
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -1.77%E -0.355%K -0.443%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:24
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:24
Grosvenor4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -3.74%E -0.763%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:24
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 18:40
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 18:40
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.22%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.66%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:24
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:24
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.70%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61%EV -10.13%E -6.84%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -7.73%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 18:25
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.69%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:19
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.67%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 12:19
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.21%EV -2.24%E -1.39%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.07%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 14:54
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -5.88%E -3.79%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:19
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -7.70%E -5.07%K -14.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -1.84%E -0.368%K -0.460%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:40
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -8.92%E -5.94%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.81%E -0.777%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 18:19
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.63%E -2.09%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.09%E -4.64%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.69%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:34
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.60%E -2.58%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.75%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.