Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 5.50
assuming max odds 4.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Wolfsburg (Local): 59.46%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 18.98%; Draw: 21.55%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 17:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.12%EV +0.033%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -0.347%E -0.066%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.55%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-08 18:07 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.28%EV -11.40%E -7.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.27%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.28%EV -11.40%E -7.65%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.27%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.07%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.49%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.07%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.49%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.23%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.86%E -3.76%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.23%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.86%E -3.76%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.67%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.71%EV -3.76%E -0.742%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.61%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV +2.38%E +0.502%K +0.636%G +0.015% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.50%EV -15.56%E -10.96%K -37.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%EV -17.02%E -4.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-08 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 18:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.94%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -0.850%E -0.185%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.01%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.13%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.78%EV -14.21%E -3.57%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.51%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.61%EV -10.79%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.12%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.94%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.61%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -16.48%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.60%EV -11.99%E -8.10%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.71%EV -16.48%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01% | -0.0% | 2026-08-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71% | 0.1% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
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