Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Начало: 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC

Итог: VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

VfL Wolfsburg (Хозяева)

Прогноз 59.46%1.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.07%
Преимущество -1.89%
Kelly -4.88%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.63

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.41%59.42%59.57%60.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.421.551.551.6370.42%64.57%64.52%61.35%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Гости)

Прогноз 18.98%5.27справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.40%
Преимущество +0.800%
Kelly +0.977%
Рост +0.043%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.00%19.01%18.98%20.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.944.905.5022.73%20.24%20.41%18.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 21.55%4.64справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.38%
Преимущество +0.502%
Kelly +0.636%
Рост +0.015%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.10%21.57%21.45%22.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.854.214.204.7525.97%23.78%23.81%21.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: VfL Wolfsburg (Хозяева): 59.46%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Гости): 18.98%; Ничья: 21.55%. Для исхода «1. FC Kaiserslautern (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.27. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.40%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.12%EV +0.033%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -0.347%E -0.066%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 17:44
Suprabets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.55%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 18:07
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.28%EV -11.40%E -7.65%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.27%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.28%EV -11.40%E -7.65%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.27%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.07%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.49%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.07%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.49%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.23%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.86%E -3.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.23%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.86%E -3.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 17:44
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.67%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.71%EV -3.76%E -0.742%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.61%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV +2.38%E +0.502%K +0.636%G +0.015%4.7%2026-08-08 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:09
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.50%EV -15.56%E -10.96%K -37.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%EV -17.02%E -4.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-08 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:19
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:35
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:23
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.94%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -0.850%E -0.185%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:24
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.01%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.13%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.78%EV -14.21%E -3.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.51%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.61%EV -10.79%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-08 18:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 18:14
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.12%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:14
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 18:14
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.94%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.61%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -16.48%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.60%EV -11.99%E -8.10%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.71%EV -16.48%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-08 18:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%-0.0%2026-08-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-08-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-08-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-08 18:15
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-08-08 18:20
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-08-08 18:25