Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 18:30 UTC

Score final : VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Prévision 59.46%1.68cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.89%
Kelly -4.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.41%59.42%59.57%60.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.551.551.6370.42%64.57%64.52%61.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.98%5.27cote équitable
EV +4.40%
Avantage +0.800%
Kelly +0.977%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.00%19.01%18.98%20.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.944.905.5022.73%20.24%20.41%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.55%4.64cote équitable
EV +2.38%
Avantage +0.502%
Kelly +0.636%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.10%21.57%21.45%22.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.214.204.7525.97%23.78%23.81%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VfL Wolfsburg (Local) : 59.46% ; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur) : 18.98% ; Match nul : 21.55%. Pour 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.27. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +4.40%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:44
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +4.40%E +0.800%K +0.977%G +0.043%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.68%EV -4.86%E -3.04%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.12%EV +0.033%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.80%E -7.20%K -21.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -0.347%E -0.066%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 17:44
Suprabets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.17%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.55%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.28%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 18:07
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.28%EV -11.40%E -7.65%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.27%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.28%EV -11.40%E -7.65%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.27%EV -1.30%E -0.249%K -0.309%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.07%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.49%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.07%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.49%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.23%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.86%E -3.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 17:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.23%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -3.19%E -0.626%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -14.86%E -3.76%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 17:44
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.67%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.71%EV -3.76%E -0.742%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.61%EV -5.38%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV +2.38%E +0.502%K +0.636%G +0.015%4.7%2026-08-08 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:09
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.50%EV -15.56%E -10.96%K -37.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -5.09%E -1.02%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.32%EV -17.02%E -4.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-08 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.32%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.44%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:19
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.93%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.16%E -1.17%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 17:35
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.99%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -9.47%E -2.26%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 18:23
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.94%E -1.64%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -0.850%E -0.185%K -0.236%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:24
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.89%E -1.85%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.83%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -6.24%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.01%EV -8.43%E -5.47%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -3.01%E -0.668%K -0.859%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 17:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.13%EV -7.24%E -4.64%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.09%EV -9.84%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.78%EV -14.21%E -3.57%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.51%EV -12.59%E -8.56%K -26.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.61%EV -10.79%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-08 18:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.63%E -2.84%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 18:14
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.02%E -5.90%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.68%E -2.76%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.12%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -6.67%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 18:14
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 18:14
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.58%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.94%E -4.09%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.86%EV -9.61%E -6.33%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -16.48%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -7.32%E -1.70%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.60%EV -11.99%E -8.10%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.71%EV -16.48%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -13.78%E -3.45%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-08 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.99%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.01%-0.0%2026-08-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-08-08 18:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.49%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-08-08 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.78%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-08-08 18:15
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-08-08 18:20
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-08-08 18:25