L’École des cotes

VfL Wolfsburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

2026-08-08 18:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Wolfsburg (Local)

Prévision 59.60%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -6.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.00%59.63%59.75%60.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.541.551.6169.93%64.87%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.69%5.35cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.358%
Kelly -0.442%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.85%18.74%18.46%21.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.754.755.2525.00%21.07%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.71%4.61cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.510%
Kelly -0.656%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.90%21.64%21.79%22.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.154.204.5026.67%24.07%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.04%EV -4.05%E -2.51%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.95%EV -5.99%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-23 05:58
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.89%EV -7.30%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 05:59
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.72%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.67%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -7.72%E -1.82%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:14
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -11.23%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 12:14
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.40%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -12.16%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 10:40
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -2.30%E -0.510%K -0.656%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 05:59
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.43%E -4.10%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 21:35
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -7.03%E -4.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.48%EV -5.62%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 11:19
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -7.03%E -4.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.29%E -2.14%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 11:24
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -7.03%E -4.50%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -14.03%E -3.05%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.64%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 05:34
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.67%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -4.68%E -0.918%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -2.30%E -0.510%K -0.656%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 14:55
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.77%EV -14.96%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.21%EV -12.07%E -2.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 10:39
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.90%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-23 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.90%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-23 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.90%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-23 06:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -7.62%E -4.92%K -13.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.90%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -13.15%E -3.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -1.88%E -0.358%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 06:00
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.81%E -0.541%K -0.670%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.47%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 05:58
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.60%E -7.07%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-23 05:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.60%E -7.07%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.55%E -1.31%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.81%E -2.10%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-23 06:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -10.60%E -7.07%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -15.90%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -17.49%E -4.60%K -6.25%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 57.92%EV -11.20%E -7.52%K -22.85%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.84%EV -18.70%E -4.30%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.24%EV -15.76%E -4.06%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-24 18:33
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.00%EV -11.79%E -7.97%K -24.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -25.24%E -6.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.91%EV -16.41%E -4.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-13 05:34
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 57.41%EV -12.39%E -8.43%K -26.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.09%EV -21.50%E -5.12%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.50%EV -18.58%E -4.95%K -6.76%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-24 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 58.95%EV -14.77%E -10.33%K -34.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.16%EV -17.77%E -4.04%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -16.41%E -4.26%K -5.76%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-23 05:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 57.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%16.8%2026-07-13 10:40