Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum v Hertha Berlin

2026-08-07 18:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prediction 40.30%2.48fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.48%40.24%42.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.262.4048.78%44.39%44.15%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Visit)

Prediction 34.75%2.88fair odd
EV +0.775%
Edge +0.267%
Kelly +0.408%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.45%34.58%34.90%35.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.602.9040.82%38.27%38.46%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.41%24.94%24.86%25.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.633.8529.85%27.51%27.59%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV +0.775%E +0.267%K +0.408%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 16:50
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -8.11%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.48%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.60%EV -8.11%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.48%E -2.01%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.94%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 12:14
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -3.27%E -1.36%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -3.95%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 11:40
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.88%EV -4.08%E -1.71%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 05:55
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -8.11%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 12:14
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.86%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -7.57%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.20%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:55
Marathon Bet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.86%EV -5.69%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -7.57%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.20%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.91%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -8.61%E -3.27%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-28 18:34
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 06:00
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -5.29%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.83%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.20%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 06:00
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.70%E -2.08%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 09:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-28 09:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.65%E -3.71%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 14:55
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -13.35%E -6.21%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.05%EV -15.36%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.81%EV -11.39%E -4.47%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.14%EV -14.43%E -4.21%K -5.94%G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-23 18:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -7.30%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -13.13%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.19%E -2.83%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-18 05:56
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -9.32%E -4.14%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -13.13%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.69%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-18 05:59
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.98%EV -15.36%E -7.32%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -13.13%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -12.69%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.12%EV -17.38%E -8.48%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.72%EV -13.13%E -5.25%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.16%EV -16.43%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-13 10:40
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -11.33%E -5.15%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.28%EV -14.86%E -6.07%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -15.18%E -4.46%K -6.33%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-18 05:55
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 40.60%EV -16.57%E -8.01%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.31%EV -14.86%E -6.07%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -16.43%E -4.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-28 05:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%16.7%2026-07-28 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 37.96%2.08I 48.08%NM 31.02%2.08I 48.08%NM 31.02%55.0%2026-07-28 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 37.96%2.08I 48.08%NM 31.02%2.08I 48.08%NM 31.02%55.0%2026-07-28 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 44.74%1.69I 59.17%NM 27.79%1.71I 58.48%NM 27.47%112.9%2026-07-28 10:49