The School of Odds

VfL Bochum v Hertha Berlin

2026-08-07 18:30 — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Option 1: VfL Bochum (Local)

Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.2943.74%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.4041.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
38.59%2.591Min
40.43%2.473Max
39.76%2.515Mean
39.76%2.515Median
39.76%2.515IQM
39.72%2.518Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 39.76%

EV -4.58%Edge -1.91%Kelly -3.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Hertha Berlin (Visit)

Odds
2.3542.55%Min
2.6537.68%Mean
2.7037.04%Median
2.7536.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.45%3.082Min
35.78%2.795Max
34.28%2.918Mean
34.28%2.918Median
34.28%2.918IQM
34.27%2.918Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 34.28%

EV -5.74%Edge -2.09%Kelly -3.28%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.3729.69%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.7027.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.63%4.060Min
28.01%3.570Max
25.97%3.851Mean
25.97%3.851Median
25.97%3.851IQM
26.02%3.844Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 25.97%

EV -3.92%Edge -1.06%Kelly -1.45%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerVfL Bochum (Local) ▼Hertha Berlin (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -4.58% E -1.91% K -3.27% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.11%EV -5.74% E -2.09% K -3.28% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.80%EV -9.12% E -2.60% K -3.65% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 11:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -4.58% E -1.91% K -3.27% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.11%EV -5.74% E -2.09% K -3.28% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.80%EV -9.12% E -2.60% K -3.65% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.43%EV -8.56% E -3.72% K -6.58% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.44%EV -7.46% E -2.76% K -4.39% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.13%EV -3.92% E -1.06% K -1.45% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-08 11:59
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48% NM 39.63%EV -8.56% E -3.72% K -6.58% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.74%EV -12.60% E -4.94% K -8.13% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.63%EV -3.92% E -1.06% K -1.45% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-08 12:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 38.84%EV -8.56% E -3.72% K -6.58% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.09%EV -10.20% E -3.89% K -6.30% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.07%EV -14.31% E -4.34% K -6.22% G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-08 15:08
1xBet2.30I 43.48% NM 38.84%EV -8.56% E -3.72% K -6.58% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.09%EV -10.20% E -3.89% K -6.30% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.07%EV -14.31% E -4.34% K -6.22% G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-08 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44% NM 39.66%EV -10.55% E -4.69% K -8.44% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.45%EV -5.74% E -2.09% K -3.28% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.89%EV -16.91% E -5.28% K -7.68% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds2.25I 44.44% NM 39.66%EV -10.55% E -4.69% K -8.44% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.45%EV -5.74% E -2.09% K -3.28% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.89%EV -16.91% E -5.28% K -7.68% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 39.66%EV -10.55% E -4.69% K -8.44% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.45%EV -5.74% E -2.09% K -3.28% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.89%EV -16.91% E -5.28% K -7.68% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 16:50
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44% NM 38.59%EV -10.55% E -4.69% K -8.44% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 33.40%EV -10.88% E -4.19% K -6.80% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.01%EV -19.50% E -6.29% K -9.29% G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-08 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 39.11%EV -14.52% E -6.75% K -12.63% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 35.78%EV -19.45% E -8.28% K -14.41% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 25.10%EV -13.01% E -3.88% K -5.54% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-08 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerVfL Bochum (Local)Hertha Berlin (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25% NM 24.43%2.64I 37.88% NM 20.91%1.01I 99.01% NM 54.66%81.1%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25% NM 24.43%2.64I 37.88% NM 20.91%1.01I 99.01% NM 54.66%81.1%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25% NM 24.43%2.64I 37.88% NM 20.91%1.01I 99.01% NM 54.66%81.1%2026-07-08 15:40