Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Bochum (Local): 42.00%; Hertha Berlin (Visit): 30.88%; Draw: 27.13%. For Hertha Berlin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.90%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.35%EV -10.13%E -4.73%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV +1.90%E +0.576%K +0.826%G +0.016% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -4.25%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.95%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.84%EV -0.878%E -0.274%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.52%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.10%EV -7.19%E -3.25%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -1.19%E -0.371%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -4.79%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 18:17 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.19%E -0.371%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -7.19%E -3.25%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.23%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.42%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.20%EV -6.75%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.39%EV -9.67%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-07 18:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 18:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 18:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.81%E -5.62%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -6.77%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.98%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -6.77%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.98%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -13.91%E -6.79%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 04:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 04:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 04:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 04:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-07 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.63%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.63%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -10.97%E -5.17%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -19.71%E -7.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-07 09:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
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