Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Bochum v Hertha Berlin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC

Score final : VfL Bochum 0–1 Hertha Berlin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prévision 42.00%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.30%42.02%41.97%44.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.212.3048.78%45.08%45.15%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +0.576%
Kelly +0.826%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.76%30.89%30.83%32.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.942.953.3038.46%33.97%33.90%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.13%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.652%
Kelly -0.902%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.81%27.09%27.20%27.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.403.6031.25%29.29%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VfL Bochum (Local) : 42.00% ; Hertha Berlin (Visiteur) : 30.88% ; Match nul : 27.13%. Pour Hertha Berlin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.24. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +1.90%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.35%EV -10.13%E -4.73%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV +1.90%E +0.576%K +0.826%G +0.016%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -4.25%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.95%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.84%EV -0.878%E -0.274%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.52%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 18:20
Suprabets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.10%EV -7.19%E -3.25%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -1.19%E -0.371%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -4.79%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 18:17
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.19%E -0.371%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -7.19%E -3.25%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.23%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:24
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.42%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.20%EV -6.75%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.39%EV -9.67%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 18:14
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 18:24
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 18:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.81%E -5.62%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:19
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -6.77%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.98%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -6.77%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.98%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-07 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -13.91%E -6.79%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-07 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:19
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 09:50
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.63%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.63%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -10.97%E -5.17%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -19.71%E -7.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-07 09:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-08-07 18:20
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-07 18:15