Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Bochum v Hertha Berlin

Início: 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC

Final: VfL Bochum 0–1 Hertha Berlin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Previsão 42.00%2.38odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.30%42.02%41.97%44.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.222.212.3048.78%45.08%45.15%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hertha Berlin (Visitante)

Previsão 30.88%3.24odd justa
EV +1.90%
Vantagem +0.576%
Kelly +0.826%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.76%30.89%30.83%32.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.602.942.953.3038.46%33.97%33.90%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.13%3.69odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -0.652%
Kelly -0.902%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%27.09%27.20%27.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.403.6031.25%29.29%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: VfL Bochum (Local): 42.00%; Hertha Berlin (Visitante): 30.88%; Empate: 27.13%. Para Hertha Berlin (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.24. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.90%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.35%EV -10.13%E -4.73%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV +1.90%E +0.576%K +0.826%G +0.016%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.89%EV -4.25%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.95%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.84%EV -0.878%E -0.274%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.52%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 18:20
Suprabets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.10%EV -7.19%E -3.25%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -1.19%E -0.371%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.14%EV -4.79%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 18:17
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.19%E -0.371%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -2.73%E -0.867%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.18%EV -7.19%E -3.25%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -7.23%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:24
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.82%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.42%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.20%EV -6.75%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.39%EV -9.67%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 18:14
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.70%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.09%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 17:40
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 18:24
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.35%E -0.652%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 18:24
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 18:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.81%E -5.62%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.36%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:19
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -6.77%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.98%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:05
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.70%EV -6.77%E -3.05%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.07%EV -7.98%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:50
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.51%E -2.45%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.84%E -3.64%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-07 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.60%EV -13.91%E -6.79%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -10.45%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.29%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-07 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.07%E -3.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 18:10
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:19
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -3.41%E -1.48%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.06%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 04:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -9.71%E -4.52%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.54%E -4.84%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.77%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 09:50
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -6.35%E -2.85%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -15.08%E -5.48%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-07 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.63%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -7.61%E -3.46%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -16.63%E -6.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.48%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -10.97%E -5.17%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -19.71%E -7.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -13.20%E -4.12%K -6.00%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-07 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.65%0.5%2026-08-07 18:20
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.40%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.33%1.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-08-07 18:15